Validation

ZenWave validates engine candidates through sequential Walk-Forward Analysis. Each engine maintains its own report, including its WFA slices, robustness analysis, and forward-path comparison.

Walk-Forward Analysis Overview

Walk-Forward Analysis (WFA) is a sequential validation protocol: optimise on in-sample (IS) data, then test on unseen out-of-sample (OOS) segments. Each slice reports performance on data not used by the optimiser.

For ZenWave, WFA is not optional. It is the only accepted validation standard. Published equity curves are stitched from OOS segments.

Validation includes:

  • Slicing boundaries verified
  • IS/OOS partitions checked for leakage
  • Equity shape and structural consistency evaluated
  • PF/DD stability and regime alignment
  • Parameter drift reviewed
  • Procedure and reporting reviewed for protocol adherence

This reduces overfitting risk and false robustness.

Production Baseline — 31 December 2025

Engine Status (as of 31 Dec 2025)

EngineStatusWindowParams
Engine ALiveFull-window (2014–2025)Frozen
Engine BLiveB5 sliceFrozen

As of 31 Dec 2025, Engine A and B parameters are frozen. No parameter, risk, or logic changes are permitted outside a formal retirement or replacement decision.

The live deployment matches expectations set by the combined out-of-sample equity curves:

  • Operates within the predicted drawdown bands
  • Shows no signs of parameter decay or regime misalignment
  • Continues to trade strictly within the WFA-validated framework

Research and optimisation are complete. The current phase is observation — tracking live behavior against validated benchmarks.

Forward Performance Tracking →